Autumn is a time for summing up results and simultaneously a starting point for the next season. It’s now that farmers analyze the harvested crop, compare results, calculate expenses, and begin planning the crop structure for the new year. In conditions of war, climate change, and market instability, accurate forecasting has become not just a useful tool, but a strategic necessity.
Yield no longer depends only on weather or fertilizers. It is influenced by dozens of factors — from soil conditions and fuel costs to port access and global grain prices. Therefore, the main task of a farmer today is to learn to predict risks and build plans that ensure stability even under unpredictable conditions.
How Yield Forecast is Formed
Crop forecasting is a comprehensive analysis that includes assessment of soils, climate, cultivation technologies, and economic feasibility of crops.
First, the results of the past season are analyzed: which fields showed stable yields, where there were losses, how cultivation technologies worked. Then weather trends are taken into account — precipitation levels, average temperature, length of the growing season.
A separate role is played by satellite monitoring data, which helps assess the condition of crops, the degree of soil degradation, and the moisture forecast for spring. All this is combined into an analytical system that allows the farmer to make decisions not blindly, but based on specific figures.
For example, in 2025, experts predict that due to a warm winter and lack of precipitation in the southern regions, demand will increase for crops with a short growing season — barley, peas, chickpeas. And in the central and northern parts of the country, stable yields of wheat and corn are expected due to good soil conditions and balanced moisture levels.
Crop Structure: how Farmers are Changing Their Approach
Until recently, farmers planned their crop structure mainly based on market price. Now, decisions are increasingly made based on production profitability and risk of losses.
For example, corn remains one of the most profitable crops, but due to logistical problems and high cost, its share is gradually decreasing in favor of wheat and sunflower. Many farms are returning to legumes — they restore soil fertility and require less fertilizer.
The popularity of winter crops is also growing, as they are better adapted to climate fluctuations and allow for more even distribution of equipment load. And in regions with moisture shortages, farmers are actively experimenting with sorghum, flax, and mustard — crops that tolerate drought well and have stable demand.
Economic season planning: costs, revenues, finances
Crop planning is not just about choosing crops, but also detailed financial modeling. Each hectare should have a projected cost, potential yield, and expected profit.
The main cost items are seeds, fertilizers, plant protection products, fuel, land rent, and labor costs. In conditions of price fluctuations and resource scarcity, proper allocation of funds becomes crucial. Farmers form budgets not on intuition, but based on last year’s analytics and market price forecasts.
The problem is that most farms face cash gaps during the off-season. Money from the sold harvest has not yet been received, but purchases for the new season need to be made now.
That’s why more and more farmers are using agro-installments — a financial instrument that allows buying necessary goods without collateral and initial payment. The online service WEAGRO has created a solution that allows paying for equipment, spare parts, seeds, or plant protection products after the harvest brings income.
This allows not stopping production, planning strategically, and distributing resources evenly.
The Role of Technology in Forecasting
Technologies are becoming an integral part of the season planning process. Thanks to analytical platforms, drones, and satellite data, farmers receive not only statistics but also accurate yield maps.
This allows:
- calculating the potential return from each field;
- predicting moisture deficits;
- determining the need for fertilizers and plant protection products;
- planning equipment load.
The combination of analytics with financial instruments creates a new model of agribusiness management — where decisions are based not on assumptions, but on data.
Global Markets and Impact on Ukrainian Harvest
Farm planning today is impossible without considering global trends. The grain and oilseed market in 2025 remains unstable: demand is growing, but world prices depend on logistics and competition.
The key players remain the USA, Brazil, Canada, the EU, and Ukraine. After the restoration of exports through Danube ports, our agricultural sector has a chance to regain positions in world markets, especially in the corn, sunflower oil, and wheat segments.
For farmers, this means: it’s necessary to plan sales before sowing, look for contracts with traders, and consider forward contracts as a tool for income stabilization.
Preparation for the New Season: Strategic Stability
Today, planning has become not just a technological process, but part of crisis management. Farms that start preparation in advance gain an advantage: they buy resources at lower prices, have time to update equipment, attract partners, and optimize logistics.
Farmers who use financial instruments and digital technologies are able to plan the season not from a risk perspective, but from a control perspective. And this is what becomes the key to success in the modern agricultural world.
Plan your next season with confidence.
Get seeds, equipment, or agro-solutions in installments through WEAGRO — an online service that helps agribusiness develop without interruption.
